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Poll: Trump gains among independents against Biden, Warren

President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE is gaining among independent voters in head-to-head matchups with the Democratic presidential front-runners, according to a new IBD-TIPP poll.

Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE leads Trump by just 1 point among independents, which is down from Biden’s 18-point lead among the voting group in September.

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In a head-to-head matchup with Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.), 49 percent of independents backed Trump, while 43 percent threw their support behind the senator in the poll, which was released on Monday. 

A 4-point gap separated Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) and Trump, with the president receiving 48 percent support among independents and Sanders garnering 44 percent. 

Warren led Trump with independents by 2 points in the September poll, while Sanders led the president by 9 points. 

The new poll comes as tensions between Trump and Biden have risen on the campaign trail as the president has intensified his attacks against the former vice president, accusing Biden of efforts to pressure Ukraine to dismiss a senior prosecutor who at one point had investigated an energy company where Biden’s son had served as a board member.

There is no evidence that Biden advocated for the prosecutor’s removal as a means of protecting his son. 

Independent voters will likely play an impactful role in the 2020 general election. Forty-three percent of voters who said they identified as independent said they voted for Trump in 2016, while 42 percent went for Democratic nominee Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonWhite House accuses Biden of pushing ‘conspiracy theories’ with Trump election claim Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness Trayvon Martin’s mother Sybrina Fulton qualifies to run for county commissioner in Florida MORE, according to the Pew Research Center.

The IBD-TIPP poll was conducted from Sept. 26 to Oct. 3 among 900 adults. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points. 

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